August 13, 2026

Air Pollution’s Impacts on Health: Ten Million Deaths a Year


News of out-of-control wildfires in Spain, France, Greece, the western U.S., and across Canada—fires worsened by drought and extreme heat—have been rampant for weeks. These forest fires are hotter and larger than we've ever seen and are now so prevalent and damaging that few doubt that they are new form of "extreme weather" that climate change has been making them worse. At the same time, these fires last longer and produce more smoke, contributing to many more days of unhealthy air quality and difficulty moving around. But these fires don't just cause stinging in the eyes or an acrid smell in the nose, they are a direct contributor to death and disease.  Just as with the already high levels of fossil fuel derived air pollution in many areas, breathing in this wildfire smoke is a known factor contributing to a wide range of serious diseases, shortened lifespans and mortality rates.

According to Andrew Dessler of The Climate Brink, starting around 2016, air quality which had been getting better up to then, began to decline again largely due to the growing smoke contribution from forest fires.  Today, there are between 5 and 10 more days of smoke per year than there was in the early 2000s. Not only is wildfire smoke a growing public climate impact and concern, there is more scrutiny on what the economic and health impacts are from the blend of air pollution that people are breathing in, as fires get worse and the pollution they deliver is more defined. It draws our attention back to another aspect of the pollution in our air, which is there even when wildfire smoke isn't: the toxic daily pollution from burning fossil fuels.

For all of the impacts and damage that burning fossil fuels has on climate change, which is certainly contributing to making wildfires far worse than they ever were, we have been largely ignoring the current health impacts of our addiction to fossil fuels. The toxic air pollution from burning coal, oil and gas is now estimated to kill 10 million people each year.  To better understand why even this impact alone should motivate us to transition away from fossil fuels, it is worth reading David Wallace-Wells article in the London Review of Books, "Ten Million a Year: David Wallace-Wells on polluted air," from December 2021.  Wallace-Wells provides greater context on the comparisons between the damage to humanity from the impacts of air pollution—which is already off the charts and killing millions of humans every day—especially in deeply polluted places India, Pakistan and China, that there is literally no threat to humanity that compares with the threat to human health and lifespan that is posed by the polluted air that we breath.

For example, the world panicked when the coronavirus emerged and killed 2714 people in a month. Yet around 800,000 people died from air pollution that same month. Air pollution kills 10 times more people every year than the flu but we hear less about it than about getting the flu shot. Air pollution kills about twenty times as many people as all annual deaths from war, murder and terrorism combined. And here's the statistic that will shock so many people: on an average day, air pollution deaths from burning fossil fuels are greater than all of the deaths caused by every meltdown or nuclear accident in the 70-year history of nuclear power combined including Chernobyl, Fukushima and Three Mile Island and every other nuclear event.

We need to transition away from fossil fuels not just for the benefits to future generations that want to be able to inhabit a world that isn't reeling from climate change but because fossil fuels are already causing a hundred million premature deaths every decade, greater than any other threat to our health from any other cause. If nothing else were wrong with burning fossil fuels—remedying this health impact would be a huge benefit to humanity and should motivate us to transition to clean energy in and of itself.


Continue reading at London Review of Books, Ten Million a Year: David Wallace-Wells on polluted air, by David Wallace-Wells, December 2, 2021.

September 14, 2025

US Taxpayers to Shoulder Billions in New Fossil Fuel Subsidies Under “Big Beautiful Bill” ()

A new report finds the Trump administration has added nearly $40 billion in federal subsidies for oil, gas, and coal in 2025 — locking in $4 billion more per year for the next decade, on top of existing support for fossil fuels.

May 30, 2025

CATF: Beyond LCOE: Evaluating Electricity Decarbonization Pathways

CATF's Beyond LCOE Report

takes a systems-oriented perspective to evaluate electricity decarbonization pathways and finds that LCOE is not an effective approach to planning decarbonization policies.

 

September 8, 2023

World is on track to miss climate targets


UN warns that the world will miss climate targets unless fossil fuels are phased out, according to an article in The Guardian by Environmental Editor, Fiona Harvey. This is a remarkable declaration by the UN, which has not previously called for the phase of fossil fuels so explicitly.  Unfortunately, the UN's draft with this important language now appears to have been removed.

There is so much money being made by fossil fuel exporting countries, that in nearly all prior rounds of climate talks and negotiations, discussion of the need to phase out fossil fuels resulted in unresolved controversy.  Yet, because we have failed to curtail carbon emissions, and In fact, they are still rising, the UN declared this "a critical moment" with a "rapidly narrowing window" for governments to reduce their emisisons. The language came out in the UN's report which was published in draft form on September 8th. 

Governments are failing to cut greenhouse gas emissions fast enough to meet the goals of the Paris agreement and to stave off climate disaster. Meeting the goals will require "phasing out all unabated fossil fuels," according to the draft report entited "Sythesis Report of the Technical Dialogue of the First Global Stocktake."  The UN published this draft, despite recognizing that that some oil-producing countries may find that statement hard to take. Meanwhile, the draft now appears to have been embargoed and removed from the UN's website, which is very much the way things have been going all along. We know what we need to do but those profiting from fossil fuels continue to have the power to block progress in phasing down use of those fossil fuels.

Read The Guardian's 'A critical moment’: UN warns world will miss climate targets unless fossil fuels phased out, by Fiona Harvey, Environmental Editor, published September 8, 2023.

July 15, 2021

China launches national carbon market


According to Bloomberg Green, China's national carbon market opened with a "flurry of trades that sent prices surging." This is exceptionally exciting news, yet Bloomberg's annonymous report went on to enumerate many reasons why this is a less than stellar achievement, claiming that "it’ll be years before the system helps the top polluting nation curb its emissions."

We say "bull pucky" to that.  China pulls way ahead of the U.S. with this launch, which requires even state-owned oil giants such as China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., known as Sinopec, and China Energy Investment Corp., one of the world’s largest coal producers, to participate in trading carbon allowances. The frenzy produced a rise of 10%—deemed the daily limit—within about 10 minutes of the launch.

While there are always issues to be worked out whenever a new market is launched, as far it goes, China Carbon market's first day was a huge success.  Carbon allowances opened at 48 yuan ($7.42) a metric ton and traded as high as 52.80 yuan, limited by the defined max.

China's carbon prices may be starting low but it won't take long for them to exceed those of California's Cap & Trade system, where the price of carbon started at $12 in November 2014 and which grew a total of 40% over the subsequent five years. It then languished at around $17 from 2019 until May of this year, when it suddenly began to climb.  This performance is an embarrassment and shows the power of the fossil fuel lobby in California throughout the last decade, since the price of buying CO2 hovers at around $150 on the commondity market.  China's carbon market could theoretically exceed the price of carbon in California within a matter of weeks, even with a 10% daily cap.

We are encouraged by China's achievement and believe that they are moving along with an important tool to place the appropriate market signals on carbon emissions.  It is not clear why Bloomberg feels the need to dis their efforts and diminish the importance of this launch but we believe this will light a fire under the U.S. to take more action, which may explain why the price of California's permits started showing some upward movement in price during the May auction.

Read Bloomberg Green's unsigned report, Top Carbon Market Launch Won't Help China Tame Emissions Yet," posted July 15, 2021.

February 14, 2019

Ed Luce: Fiddling while the world simmers

Ed Luce reflects on the return of congressional action on climate after nearly a decade without attention. But bemoans the facts that Trump doesn't believe in climate change and that the Democrats who do avoid nuclear power. Luce is clear that, without nuclear, the world has no plan that can work to generate the power we need to solve this problem.


(Click the image or here to go to the original (paywalled) Financial Times source.)

April 27, 2013

Nuclear power saves lives

Scientists working at NASA's Goddard Institute published a study that quantifies how many deaths that would have been caused by fossil fuels if burned for power, were avoided as a result of having had nuclear power displace the power from coal, oil or gas.  The answer is 1.8 million and growing every year that the coal is not burned.

Drs. Pushker Kharecha and James Hansen published Prevented Mortality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Historical and Projected Nuclear Power in the journal Environmental Science and Technology with the striking figure of 1.8 million as the number of lives saved by replacing fossil fuel sources with nuclear. They also estimate the saving of up to 7 million lives in the next four decades, along with substantial reductions in carbon emissions, were nuclear power to replace fossil fuel usage on a large scale.

In addition the study finds that the proposed expansion of natural gas would not be as effective in saving lives and preventing carbon emissions. In general the paper provides optimistic reasons for the responsible and widespread use of nuclear technologies in the near future. It also drives home the point that nuclear energy has prevented many more deaths than what it has caused.

References:

ACS Publications"Prevented Mortality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Historical and Projected Nuclear Power," by Pushker A. Kharech and James E. Hansen, on March 15, 2013, Environ. Sci. Technol. 2013, 47, 9, 4889–4895.

Scientific American, "Nuclear power may have saved 1.8 million lives otherwise lost to fossil fuels, may save up to 7 million more." by by Ashutosh Jogalekar on April 2, 2013.

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