September 18, 2023

Large Investors doubling down on Emerging Managers

Jessica Mathews, writing for the Fortune Term Sheet Newsletter, alerted us to the change just made by CalSTRS, one of the largest pension funds in the world. In "CalSTRS taps Sapphire Partners, with an office in Menlo Park, to manage its new emerging manager VC investments," we learned that CalSTRS has hired Sapphire Partners to manage its five emerging manager-focused funds, with $1.4 billion in assets. Sapphire will bring sole focus to CalSTRS' growing investment into emerging managers, a distinct asset class (of which we are a member). We are delighted to hear this news and applaud the decision and its rationale.

Though it may be obvious, when some of the largest and most successful investors in the world decide to redouble their focus on a certain asset class, there's usually a good reason for it. In this case, there are highly compelling economics—in the form of superior returns—coming from emerging managers. New managers, while they don't have an investment "track record" by definition, are often launching new funds because of some kind of significant shifts in markets for which they don't see viable options or for which they have a competitive advantage or discernable investment edge.

The challenge for LPs is being able to select which emerging teams to invest in, since there is a good distribution between top emerging managers and run-of-the-mill emerging managers, who have very little differentiation or specialization.

According to Beezer Clarkson, who leads Sapphire's fund investing business, a key piece for them is simply having an emerging GP being able to articulate why an entrepreneur would pick them as an investor to join a round and why an LP should be interested in their thesis as an investor.

According to David Zhou, in an interview published by Adam Metz of D.F.A. on his Substack, emerging managers regularly outperform. "My suspicion is that emerging managers have that chip on their shoulder. They have something to prove to the world. They’ll hustle for deals. When founders pick who they want on the cap table, they want people who care about them and their space."

We tend to agree. Nucleation remains the only venture fund focused on nuclear, especially the fission kind. And when you are the only fund  focusing on the specific tech sector (namely advanced nuclear in our case) that a venture is in and you bring decades of experience, deep connections, plus expansive knowledge of the in's, out's, pro's, con's, competition, suppliers and regulators, history and a vision for what will be and a commitment to making it reality, the answer to these questions becomes apparent.

Nucleation Capital has completed eight quarters of investing, has made ten very promising investments and is starting its third year of operations. If you would like to receive a copy of our newly released Two Year Report, please send your request to us using this link.

Sources

1. TERM SHEET: CalSTRS taps Sapphire Partners to manage its new emerging manager VC investments

By Jessica Mathews
September, 13, 2023

When the California State Teachers’ Retirement System makes any kind of change to its portfolio, people pay attention.

With more than $321 billion in assets under management, CalSTRS is one of America’s largest public pension plans and therefore one of the world’s most important limited partners, with approximately $50 billion in capital strewn across private funds and, naturally, some of the world’s most influential private companies.

CalSTRS’ core private equity portfolio is littered with all the usual suspects: TPG, New Enterprise Associates, Thoma Bravo, Blackstone, and, as of 2021, Tiger Global, to name a few. But 21 years ago, the pension plan also began setting aside a small portion of capital to back first-time fund managers. It has hired out that responsibility to three third-party partners over the years: HarbourVest, Muller & Monroe, and Invesco.

Now, CalSTRS says that one of those partners—Invesco—is getting out of this line of business, so it is bringing on Sapphire Partners, the $3.6 billion LP arm of enterprise software-focused VC Sapphire Ventures, to manage five funds and $1.4 billion in assets focused on emerging managers. With the change, CalSTRS will, for the first time, have a fund class solely focused on emerging venture capital investors. (Invesco declined to comment for this story.)

“Standardizing one group to focus on venture—because it’s so specialized from an emerging manager standpoint—made a lot of sense for us,” Rob Ross, a private equity portfolio manager at CalSTRS, told Term Sheet in an interview. He added: “We just haven’t been as specialized as we should be, given the nuances of venture capital.” Ross pointed out that, while Invesco did make investments in emerging VC, PE, and growth investor managers over their 18 years working together, this will be the first time emerging VC managers will be singled out.

Beezer Clarkson, who leads Sapphire’s fund investing business, says that Sapphire will invest CalSTRS’ capital exactly the same way it deploys its own. Sapphire Partners backs VCs raising one of their first three funds, targeting a 3x net return for Series A funds and a 5x net return for seed funds. While Sapphire will look at both specialists and generalists, Clarkson says it’s important that a GP can articulate why an entrepreneur would pick them as an investor, and why she should be interested as an LP.

“I think the authenticity of that answer is the differentiator,” Clarkson says.

CalSTRS is currently investing out of its fifth fund, a $250 million fund from 2021, and Ross estimated there is approximately $80 million from that fund left to deploy. (CalSTRS filed with the SEC for a sixth fund vehicle in order to shift management responsibilities to Sapphire, though Ross clarifies this is not a new fund and CalSTRS has not set aside any additional capital at this time.)

The change at the pension fund will likely be a welcome one for first-time managers, as fundraising has been pretty dire for those just getting their start. As I wrote about last month, emerging managers are on track to raise less than they have in a decade, based on data from the first four months of the year.

Part of that has to do with risk. Emerging managers, by definition, have fewer than three funds, meaning they don’t have much of a track record to show investors. “Only about 17% of funds make it to fund four,” Clarkson says, citing data from PitchBook. Not to mention, the current market uncertainty has made price discovery more difficult, and LPs are being choosier across all their GPs.

“I think all LPs are being more selective than they had been in the past,” Ross says.

At the same time, a high-risk bet on a first-timer can turn into an enormous return. Cambridge Associates reported in 2019 that 72% of the venture industry’s highest-performing funds were run by emerging managers. (This is the most recent metric. Cambridge Associates didn’t respond to my request for updated figures.)

“There’s no guarantee it’s going to work out well. And because there are so many emerging managers every year, the challenge of picking the ones that will continue is extraordinarily hard—and that’s probably the nugget of why most LPs don’t do this,” Clarkson says.

For CalSTRS, returns for this class of funds have been strong so far. Here’s a look (I didn’t include the 2021 fund because it didn’t have a long enough track record to judge it fairly):

As it’s become more and more competitive for LPs to get exposure to top-performing funds, it makes sense for large-scale limited partners to be building relationships with promising investors earlier on. And there’s nothing preventing a pension plan or institutional LP from outsourcing most of the work. Just earlier this year, one of California’s other major pension plans, CalPERS, had said it was now working with TPG and GCM Grosvenor to deploy $1 billion into emerging manager funds.

2. SAPPHIRE Press Release: CalSTRS and Sapphire Partners Join Forces to Invest in New and Next Generation VC Managers

Sapphire Partners will assume management of the CalSTRS New and Next Generation Manager Funds, which includes managing available capital to make new investments into emerging managers focused on early-stage venture capital

WEST SACRAMENTO and MENLO PARK, September 13, 2023 / PRNewswire: The California State Teachers’ Retirement System (CalSTRS), the world’s largest educator-only pension fund with more than $320 billion in assets, and Sapphire Partners, the fund investing strategy of Sapphire, a specialized technology investment firm with over $11 billion in assets under management,(1) today announced a partnership to invest in emerging managers focused on early-stage venture capital. As a part of this partnership, Sapphire Partners will assume investment management responsibilities of five CalSTRS “New and Next Generation Manager Funds” existing funds, representing approximately $1.4 billion in assets under management.(2) Sapphire Partners will also have capital available to continue making commitments to new and emerging venture capital managers.

“Emerging managers are critical to the venture ecosystem and an LP’s portfolio, and both CalSTRS and Sapphire Partners have long histories of supporting them on their journey,” said Beezer Clarkson, Partner, Sapphire Partners. “Sapphire believes we are well positioned to identify the next class of rising talent early and help them grow and scale their businesses.”

The announcement comes amid one of the most challenging fundraising environments in recent years, with 91% of emerging managers finding fundraising “difficult or very difficult” in 2023. With many LPs constrained on allocations, Sapphire Partners is excited to be an active and supportive partner for emerging managers seeking to fundraise in this environment and has invested in emerging managers since the strategy’s inception nearly twelve years ago.

“One of CalSTRS’ primary goals since the program’s inception in 2005 is to partner with diverse GPs that represent the demographics of California, and we know greater diversity is a natural byproduct of focusing on small emerging managers,” said Christopher J. Ailman, CalSTRS’ Chief Investment Officer. “This partnership with Sapphire aligns with our long history of finding diverse investment managers. We look forward to partnering with Sapphire on this important mandate.”(3) 

Sapphire Partners has been an active Limited Partner since 2012, investing in early-stage venture capital (Seed to Series A) funds within the US, Europe and Israel, with, more recently, a focus on identifying managers Sapphire believes may become the “New Elite” in early-stage VC.

Managers may benefit from Sapphire’s industry insights, its experience investing in emerging managers, and its efforts to demystify the “LP Perspective” through OpenLP, a Sapphire-led resource for the VC community. In addition, the broader Sapphire technology investing platform, featuring a multibillion-dollar direct VC investing strategy, provides managers with market and industry insights from the investment and Portfolio Growth teams and a scaled firmwide infrastructure to tap into where relevant.

This partnership will allow Sapphire to expand its ability to support emerging managers while continuing to focus on established managers through its existing investment platform. Of note, approximately 60% of Sapphire Partners’ relationships began at the emerging manager stage.(4) Since its inception, Sapphire and the New and Next Generation Manager platform have partnered with approximately 300 funds over their combined history. Today, approximately 70% of Sapphire Partners’ portfolio of existing managers have checkwriters from diverse backgrounds.(5) 

About Sapphire Partners

Sapphire Partners has been investing in early-stage venture capital funds since 2012 and seeks to identify and support the “New Elite” managers across the US, Europe and Israel who are uniquely suited to invest in the next generation of technology category leaders. Through its underlying managers, Sapphire Partners has indirectly invested in over 3,200(6) companies since inception. Sapphire Partners looks to partner with managers across their journey as a GP and is focused on adding value beyond its capital commitments through value-add services, industry insights, and its efforts to demystify the ‘LP Perspective’ through the OpenLP initiative. Sapphire Partners is part of Sapphire, a specialized technology investment firm with approximately $11 billion in assets under management across three distinct strategies and with team members across Austin, Menlo Park, San Francisco and London. To learn more, visit the Sapphire Partners website.

About CalSTRS

CalSTRS provides a secure retirement to more than 1 million members and beneficiaries whose CalSTRS-covered service is not eligible for Social Security participation. On average, members who retired in 2021–22 had 25 years of service and a monthly benefit of $4,809. Established in 1913, CalSTRS is the largest educator-only pension fund in the world with $321.3 billion in assets under management as of July 31, 2023. CalSTRS demonstrates its strong commitment to long-term corporate sustainability principles in its annual Sustainability Report.

September 18, 2023

Nucleation’s first two years

Nucleation Capital completed its second full year as a fund at the end of June, 2023. During these eight quarters, we made ten investments and built a portfolio that showcases how we define our thesis. This then begins to answer the question that many people have: How does a nuclear-focused climate venture fund invest into this sector? The answer is presented in the Two Year Report which we have posted below. We have now commenced our third year and, as an "evergreen" fund, we are continuing to raise capital and welcome new investors. If you are an accredited or qualified investor and interested in getting an allocation in our ongoing investments, please let us know.


(Click the image to download Nucleation's Two Year Report)

November 23, 2022

Giving Thanks & Acknowledging All We Stand to Lose

anksgiving isn't typically a time for making investment decisions . . . but it should be. Americans honor our country's beauty and bounty in many ways—most notably through the national holiday actually called "Thanksgiving," which celebrates the abundance of the land we inherited centuries ago. We feast on turkey, sweet potatoes, cranberries and other delicious indigenous foods that sustained early pilgrims. Now, that abundance and beauty is at risk—as are all societal systems and traditions—as we now know that our lifestyles are simply not sustainable in their present configuration.

If we want the Thanksgiving tradition to survive, we cannot afford to ignore the forced heating impacts that the CO2 waste from our high-energy lives is having on the climate. So, in addition to celebrating Thanksgiving, we should take the opportunity to focus on the intergenerational threat we face, which we can do by acknowledging that fossil fuels are the wrong energy for the 21st century and investing in energy solutions that eliminate new emissions and also repair the damage already done by removing emissions previously released. This would be the best way to honor what we've enjoyed for so long, give thanks and do our part in leaving the world with a sustainable climate for our childrento enjoy.

Screenshot 2025 07 10 at 11.30.06 amThere are many challenges for humanity. The heating we've caused our planet is something we must urgently address but doing so isn't as easy as it seems. People love to celebrate happy holidays and gather over delicious feasts and feel good. It is another thing altogether to ask people to focus on negative issues, things that worry and stress us out, such as acknowledging that our dumping of fossil fuel waste into the atmosphere has dramatically disrupted the natural ecosystems which have long supported us. This is contrary to our nature, as we prefer celebrations to crises. But if we build into the Thanksgiving tradition the practice of honoring the bounties of nature that we have enjoyed and objectively assessing how much damage we have done to them and then finding ways to remedy that damage, we stand a better chance of reversing the damage by accelerating climate solutions.

Given the scale of the climate problem, it is not sufficient to try to address it with personal actions such as turning down the heat, recyling, composting or even buying an electric car. These things are good to do but will not solve the problem. The only way to do that is to reduce and then eliminate fossil fuels emissions, which are still being released in the gigatons. We are running out of time to act, so rather than take modest personal actions, we must seek to find things that we can do that provide greater leverage. It turns out that our greatest point of leverage is in nvesting into the innovations that can disrupt demand for fossil fuels. Why innovation? Because to date, there hasn't been a form of clean energy that competes head to head with fossil fuels. If we want to have a hope of eliminating our need for coal, oil, petroleum and natural gas, we need a clean, carbon-free and highly reliable replacement for it that the market can adopt super quickly.

Increasingly, people are recognizing that this future energy will come in a form of nuclear power. Only nuclear has the ability to address our growing demand for energy at scale and not force humanity to go cold turkey on highly reliable power (as would wind and solar, which are intermittent sources) or the quality of life that we have enjoyed as a result of the abundance of high-density fossil fuels. Fortunately, nuclear is a far better option! But several decades of languishing by the industry has caused 21st century nuclear to be delayed. We now need to invest in hastening the release of Gen IV designs and the supply and support services necessary to enable it to scale to replace all fossil fuels usage.

This is what Nucleation Capital is doing. Providing an investment vehicle that invests in advanced nuclear and related deep decarbonization innovations that allows more investors to invest in some of the most exciting, most competitive clean energy alternatives coming out of the advanced nuclear sector. These designs will compete directly with fossil fuels and, because of the urgency of our climate situation, as soon as they are available, the world will begin to replace their use of fossil fuels with this superior type of clean, reliable, dense energy and ecologically friendly energy. Which is why, for those looking for impactful investments that are off the beaten path and which, by their nature, can produce extraordinary returns, nothing can beat nuclear energy innovation.

So, if you'd like to do far more than just give thanks with your turkey, consider investing in the innovations that would allow us to end our dependence on fossil fuels. We expect that, over the next decade, the nations of the world will begin deploying any number of advanced designs to power cities, factories, campuses, ships, industry and homes without emissions, thereby maintaining energy security and grid reliability without needing fossil fuels. We'll even use nuclear to generate synthetic hydrocarbons (for where liquid fuels are still needed) and power CO2 and atmospheric carbon drawdown to begin to reverse the level of forced heating causing global warming.

Yes, investing in advanced nuclear is high risk. Yet not solving climate change poses the greatest risks of all, in that everyone risks losing everything we hold dear. Our property, our nest eggs, our children's happiness and comfort, and our traditions. Which is why more investors are considering allocating a portion of their investible capital to investments that can meaningfully reduce demand for fossil fuels. Whether they can invest a lot or little doesn't matter so much: they will still get the satisfaction of knowing that they are using their money to make a difference in the final years that we have to rescue our future.

 

*  The "Th" image above is the period table symbol for the element Thorium, and comes curtesy of the Thorium Energy Alliance, which advocates for the use of thorium along with uranium as a fuel for nuclear energy.

December 12, 2021

An historic investment opportunity

Until recently, nuclear innovation was not something an ordinary investor could invest in, even if you wanted to. For most of nuclear energy's history, most all design, development and testing was done through the National Labs with government funding and large corporations adapted those designs for the utilities. President Jimmy Carter defunded nuclear energy research and development and privatized that activity. By that time, however, a lot of work had been done to test a wide range of alternative approaches to generating electricity from fission and this work helps set the stage for today's innovations.

On December 20, 1951, the Experimental Breeder Reactor (EBR-I) made history, generating electricity from fission and proving the thesis that fissile material could be used for peaceful purposes. The National Labs worked on some 52 different designs and configurations over about fifty years. The second Experimental Breeder Reactor, the EBR-II, a liquid metal-cooled fast reactor, ran for more than thirty years between 1961 and 1994.

Eventually, the pressurized Light Water Reactor (LWR), which was preferred and purchased by the Navy, became the utility industry's reactor of choice. Over the course of three decades, the U.S. built approximately 110 LWRs. Then, in the mid-1990s, President Jimmy Carter ended federal funding for nuclear research within the labs and, like space exploration, further nuclear energy development was privatized.

Fortunately, innovation in nuclear energy didn't stop entirely. Quite a number of innovative engineering teams sought to move fission and fusion nuclear energy forward through private ventures. In 2016, when Third Way hosted the First Annual Advanced Nuclear Summit and Showcase, there were about four dozen ventures that attended. Since then, the field has continued to grow, with many of these ventures raising capital privately to fund their ongoing work. Today there are about 250 ventures or initiatives working to develop new energy generation approaches, spanning fission, fusion, subcritical reactors and a burgeoning area of Low Energy Nuclear Reactors (LENR) which, given the climate crisis are needed more urgently than ever to replace fossil fuels.

Interest in bringing atomic energy into the 21st Century is stronger than it's ever been. Congress has been strongly supportive of advanced nuclear, passing the Nuclear Energy Innovation and Capabilities Act (NEICA) in 2018, the Nuclear Energy Innovation and Modernization Act (NEIMA) in 2019, both signed by President Trump, and portions of the Nuclear Energy Leadership Act (NELA) and the Nuclear Energy Research and Development Act (NERDA) as part of the Energy Act of 2020, signed by President Biden. All of these major pieces of legislation seek to support the emergence of next generation technologies through a variety of mechanisms, including providing a growing amount of non-dilutive funding to help these ventures get their innovations certified and to market. Nevertheless, most all of the ventures developing solutions must still raise private funds in order to succeed.

Many ventures have had success attracting venture capital at various stages. Recently, Commonwealth Fusion announced a $1.8 Billion fundraise, which they hope will enable them to prove their approach to producing electricity from fusion, something that has never yet been achieved. From the list of well-known funders, it's clear there are a growing number of venture firms and wealthy individuals paying more attention to this area. This is good for the sector and for those institutions and individuals who can afford to play at the high-ticket level of traditional venture capital firms. But there hasn't been a way for the majority of accredited investors to invest in advanced nuclear.

Unfortunately, committing million dollar sums to a single deal or even a venture fund is out of reach for all but a few extraordinarily wealthy individuals in the top 1% of investors. That is until now. In the last few years, venture capital is been disrupted by tech innovations funded by venture firms (see how Venture Capitals are eating their own dogfood.) Specifically, investment platforms have been developed that profoundly automate most all of what historically has made venture capital very expensive. The AngelList rolling fund, which enables investors to participate in ventures funds through a low-cost subscription, has delivered exactly the kind of disruption that brings increased democratization to venture capital.

AngelList is not the only group pioneering new structures. For the first time in history, a range of crowdfunding, angel investment communities and online venture platforms now make it possible for investors at many levels to access a very rich variety of venture deals through both funds and SPV syndications and participate at far lower and more affordable capital levels, not just in advanced nuclear but across nearly every sector where innovation is happening.

Nevertheless, at every level, venture investing remains a high risk/high return asset class. Before one invests in a private angel deal (typically an earlier-stage funding round) or in later-stage venture rounds, such as a Series A or Series B fundings, one needs to assess one's own appetite for risk and interest in doing some homework to vet the opportunity, called "due diligence." Investing in private equity can boost returns but, at the same time, it often takes work and mature judgment to reduce mistakes, because an investor cannot easily sell their equity, once cash has been exchanged. One has to plan to hold on to the equity while it remains illiquid, even when it is clear that the venture is failing. This can result in the total loss of one's capital. The SEC, in fact, deems venture investing too risky for any but sophisticated investors, or those deemed "accredited investors." These are people or firms with sufficient assets that they are deemed capable both of assessing their investment risks but also being able to afford to lose their capital, without serious impacts, should their investment fail.

Online platforms further open up the possibility for a much more diverse range of fund sponsors and managers with unique types of expertise to create specialized investment vehicles in areas previously overlooked by the large pool of generalist venture funds. Which is great news for innovations happening in many sectors, including advanced nuclear, since highly technical sectors can be very challenging for generalists. This has enabled many new funds, like Nucleation Capital, to develop unique investment theses and connect with the growing numbers of accredited interested in investing in this area. Investors who are deemed accredited are finally able to access private equity at capital levels that work for them.

With the climate crisis driving demand for new types of safe, affordable clean energy, this is an exciting and historic moment of convergence. Not only is there a growing swell of next generation nuclear ventures seeking to create technologies to address the world's urgent demand for clean energy and carbon management, they are raising capital right when access to private equity has finally become affordable to millions more investors, some of whom are motivated to invest their values.

As new and unfamiliar as it is, there are growing numbers of investors looking to diversify their portfolios with angel and venture investments. Hopefully, they will take the time learn more about what venture capital is and select their investments wisely.  Fortunately, the use of venture platforms are providing both guidance and deal flows, which enables new investors to achieve a level of diversification which, just as with public market portfolios, has been shown to improve returns for angel investors and venture capitalists alike. Diversification is particularly important in venture, however, since the goal of venture investors is to invest a wide enough range of ventures that the few that do succeed more than compensate for those that don't.

For further reading about venture capital, here are some additional articles that provide more background but there are plenty more.

August 8, 2020

Climate Action 100+ deploys asset managers of $40 trillion to pressure corporate action on climate

Climate Action 100+ (CA100+), the largest asset manager activist alliance, with more than 450 investor members which collectively manage $40 trillion in assets, has secured climate action commitments from 70% of the 161 targeted companies, which account for the vast majority of CO2e emissions, since the group was organized 2.5 years ago.

BlackRock, which joined CA100+ earlier this year and manages $7 trillion in assets, is now among hundreds of large investors that have committed to working to get the targeted corporations (the ‘systemically important emitters’ accounting for two-thirds of annual global industrial emissions) aligned with the goals of the Paris Agreement. These asset managers are now actively driving change at the worst emitter companies from PetroChina to BP, forcing them to make public commitments to reduce emissions from their lines of business.

As the largest investor-to-company climate initiative in history, CA100+ has become the flagship investment industry group demanding that global corporations act on climate change.

Read more by Attracta Mooney at the Financial Times: "Corporate eco-warriors driving change from Shell to Qantas."

January 14, 2020

BlackRock CEO, Larry Fink, warns of risks posed to markets by climate change

BlackRock is seeking to assert belated leadership after having failed to combat climate change for most of the last decade. With $7tn in assets, the world's largest fund manager is now planning to double the number of sustainability-focused funds it offers, cut from actively managed portfolios those companies that derive 25% or more of their revenues from coal, and grow sustainably-managed assets from $90bn today to $1tn within a decade.

Larry Fink, BlackRock CEO, announced these changes in a letter sent to clients  concurrently with an annual letter to chief executives, warning that climate change represents a risk to markets unlike any previous crisis.

“Climate change is different. Even if only a fraction of the projected impacts is realized, this is a much more structural, long-term crisis,” said Mr Fink.

“Companies, investors, and governments must prepare for a significant reallocation of capital” and assess environmental risks “with the same rigor used to analyze traditional measures such as credit and liquidity risk”.

Read more at "BlackRock shakes up business to focus on sustainable investing" in the Financial Times of January 14, 2020.

August 14, 2019

Cleantech investing rebounds but critical capital gaps remain

Impact Alpha, a news service for "impact" investors, reports on stepped up investment by climate-savvy investors, willing to make long-term bets and data from Cambridge Associates showing a rebound in cleantech returns.

Despite this rosy overview and the addition of a few new climate-focused funds within the last few years, the total venture funding for high-risk, high-impact innovation is well off the 2008 peak.  Still, some of the capital being deployed is coming from limited partners with a mission to fight climate change and willingness to be more patient. Some of these are philanthropic donors.

"Everything is moving in the right direction," according to Matthew Nordan, of Prime Impact Fund, a group that raises philanthropic dollars to invest in risky climate ventures that provide "additionality,"  yet there's still an enormous amount more capital needed, "particularly at the high risk, high impact early innovation stage."

Read Dennis Price's article in ImpactAlpha: "Cleantech venture capital rebounds with smarter, more patient investors."

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